La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Coco Gauff

Inizio: 2026-03-28 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 69.94%1.43quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -1.49%
Kelly -5.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%70.08%69.91%72.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.361.361.4078.74%73.71%73.53%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Coco Gauff (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.06%3.33quota equa
EV +5.21%
Vantaggio +1.49%
Kelly +2.09%
Crescita +0.109%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.08%29.92%30.09%31.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.143.103.5033.33%31.80%32.26%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +5.21%E +1.49%K +2.09%G +0.109%5.5%2026-03-27 22:45
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.704%E +0.210%K +0.300%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-27 22:10
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.103%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.799%E -0.242%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 22:15
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.38%E -6.40%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -0.799%E -0.242%K -0.347%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 01:39
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 20:35
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 13:49
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 16:45
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 15:50
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 15:48
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 13:54
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 20:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:00
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 21:23
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -2.09%E -1.49%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -5.01%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:00
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 20:35
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:30
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:45
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-28 01:40
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.91%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 01:15
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:55
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:59
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:58
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 13:50
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 13:35
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:34
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:40
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 06:24
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:35
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 01:05
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 13:44
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 07:50
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 07:54
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -11.18%E -8.80%K -41.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 20:34
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:20
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 20:35
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 14:04
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 13:45
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 20:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:40
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-28 01:15
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%1.9%2026-03-28 02:35