La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Caty McNally

Inizio: 2026-03-23 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 91.02%1.10quota equa
EV -1.70%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -21.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
86.63%90.73%91.02%93.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.86%96.15%92.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Caty McNally (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.98%11.13quota equa
EV +25.21%
Vantaggio +1.81%
Kelly +1.95%
Crescita +0.491%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.00%9.27%8.98%13.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.0010.3210.2513.9414.29%9.69%9.76%7.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 93.00%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%13.94I 7.17%NM 7.00%EV +25.21%E +1.81%K +1.95%G +0.491%2.4%2026-03-22 23:14
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234%4.8%2026-03-22 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234%4.8%2026-03-22 23:15
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -8.07%E -7.99%K -807.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234%6.7%2026-03-22 23:01
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.78%E +0.649%K +0.708%G +0.055%3.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.78%E +0.649%K +0.708%G +0.055%3.6%2026-03-22 23:06
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV +7.43%E +0.621%K +0.677%G +0.050%3.6%2026-03-22 23:08
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV +7.43%E +0.621%K +0.677%G +0.050%3.6%2026-03-22 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +3.29%E +0.286%K +0.314%G +0.010%4.8%2026-03-22 23:14
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:14
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:15
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 23:04
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 23:15
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:15
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:15
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:14
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:14
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:15
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:14
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:14
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:14
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:14
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 23:15
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 91.12%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000%10.47I 9.55%NM 8.88%EV -5.96%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:05
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.93%E -0.774%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 23:04
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -2.61%E -2.44%K -37.30%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV -9.28%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 23:14
William Hill1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 23:03
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:14
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:15
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:07
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -11.98%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 23:15
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 23:14
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 23:15
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:07
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:14
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:15
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:14
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:15
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:14
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.65%E -2.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:14
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.65%E -2.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:14
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.61%E -2.44%K -37.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -28.14%E -3.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:15
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -28.14%E -3.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:14
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -1.70%E -1.57%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -32.63%E -4.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 23:14
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -1.70%E -1.57%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -37.13%E -5.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 23:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.77%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23%0.5%2026-03-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-03-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-03-22 23:15
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-03-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-03-22 23:15
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 94.40%17.54I 5.70%NM 5.60%1.9%2026-03-22 23:15
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%2.8%2026-03-22 23:15