Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Caty McNally
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 91.02%1.10cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -21.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.63%90.73%91.02%93.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.86%96.15%92.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Caty McNally (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.98%11.13cote équitable
EV +25.21%
Avantage +1.81%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.491%
avec la cote maximale 13.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.00%9.27%8.98%13.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.0010.3210.2513.9414.29%9.69%9.76%7.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 91.02% ; Caty McNally (Visiteur) : 8.98%. Pour Caty McNally (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.13. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.94, soit une espérance positive de +25.21%.
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.00%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 13.94I 7.17%NM 7.00%EV +25.21%E +1.81%K +1.95%G +0.491% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -8.07%E -7.99%K -807.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.78%E +0.649%K +0.708%G +0.055% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.78%E +0.649%K +0.708%G +0.055% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV +7.43%E +0.621%K +0.677%G +0.050% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV +7.43%E +0.621%K +0.677%G +0.050% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +3.29%E +0.286%K +0.314%G +0.010% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.12%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 10.47I 9.55%NM 8.88%EV -5.96%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.93%E -0.774%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -2.61%E -2.44%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV -9.28%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 23:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -11.98%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.65%E -2.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.65%E -2.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.61%E -2.44%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -28.14%E -3.52%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -28.14%E -3.52%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -1.70%E -1.57%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -32.63%E -4.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -1.70%E -1.57%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -37.13%E -5.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.77% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.40% | 17.54I 5.70%NM 5.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48% | 2.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |