La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Caty McNally
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 91.02%1.10momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -21.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.63%90.73%91.02%93.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.86%96.15%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Caty McNally (Visitante)
Predicción 8.98%11.13momio equitativo
EV +25.21%
Ventaja +1.81%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.491%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.00%9.27%8.98%13.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.0010.3210.2513.9414.29%9.69%9.76%7.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.00%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 13.94I 7.17%NM 7.00%EV +25.21%E +1.81%K +1.95%G +0.491% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Betway | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -8.07%E -7.99%K -807.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +16.77%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.234% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.78%E +0.649%K +0.708%G +0.055% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.78%E +0.649%K +0.708%G +0.055% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV +7.43%E +0.621%K +0.677%G +0.050% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV +7.43%E +0.621%K +0.677%G +0.050% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +3.29%E +0.286%K +0.314%G +0.010% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Bovada | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.20%E -0.109%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Unibet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -5.69%E -0.542%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| GTbets | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.12%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 10.47I 9.55%NM 8.88%EV -5.96%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.93%E -0.774%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -2.61%E -2.44%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV -9.28%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| William Hill | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 23:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Betsson | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 23:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.18%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Fliff | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -7.16%E -7.02%K -358.08%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -11.98%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Neds | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:07 |
| BetMGM | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.34%E -5.14%K -133.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.25%E -6.07%K -208.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -14.67%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.65%E -2.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| TAB | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.43%E -4.22%K -88.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.65%E -2.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Coral | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.61%E -2.44%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -28.14%E -3.52%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.52%E -3.32%K -58.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -28.14%E -3.52%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -1.70%E -1.57%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -32.63%E -4.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -1.70%E -1.57%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -37.13%E -5.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.77% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Novig | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.40% | 17.54I 5.70%NM 5.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48% | 2.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |