StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Ann Li

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 00:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 93.16%1.07rättvist odds
EV -3.11%
Fördel -2.99%
Kelly -77.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.30%93.04%92.98%94.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.76%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ann Li (Borta)

Prognos 6.84%14.63rättvist odds
EV +29.91%
Fördel +1.57%
Kelly +1.66%
Tillväxt +0.497%

med antagandet om högsta odds 19.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.09%6.96%7.02%9.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.5013.4613.0019.0010.53%7.43%7.69%5.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 93.16%; Ann Li (Borta): 6.84%. För Ann Li (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 14.63. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 19.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +29.91%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +29.91%E +1.57%K +1.66%G +0.497%3.3%2026-03-21 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +23.07%E +1.28%K +1.36%G +0.313%2.6%2026-03-21 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.35%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%17.20I 5.81%NM 5.65%EV +17.60%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.191%2.9%2026-03-21 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 94.29%EV -3.11%E -2.99%K -77.77%G +0.000%17.17I 5.82%NM 5.71%EV +17.39%E +1.01%K +1.08%G +0.187%2.0%2026-03-20 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +16.23%E +0.955%K +1.01%G +0.165%3.9%2026-03-21 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +16.23%E +0.955%K +1.01%G +0.165%3.9%2026-03-20 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +16.23%E +0.955%K +1.01%G +0.165%3.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +9.40%E +0.587%K +0.626%G +0.059%3.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +9.40%E +0.587%K +0.626%G +0.059%5.3%2026-03-21 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-20 23:45
888sport🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -6.84%E -6.84%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%6.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.11%E -2.99%K -77.77%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV -0.861%E -0.059%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -0.861%E -0.059%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:44
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -4.28%E -0.306%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.91I 7.19%NM 6.83%EV -4.89%E -0.352%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -7.70%E -0.570%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:12
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:45
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:45
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:15
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.11%E -2.99%K -77.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 00:15
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:20
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -24.79%E -2.25%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -24.79%E -2.25%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -28.21%E -2.69%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 00:25
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -31.63%E -3.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -35.05%E -3.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 00:22
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-21 00:15
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.76%2.0%2026-03-21 00:25
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.98%19.49I 5.13%NM 5.02%2.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 94.55%17.86I 5.60%NM 5.45%2.7%2026-03-21 00:25