A Escola das Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Ann Li

Início: 2026-03-21 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 93.16%1.07odd justa
EV -3.11%
Vantagem -2.99%
Kelly -77.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.30%93.04%92.98%94.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.76%98.04%96.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ann Li (Visitante)

Previsão 6.84%14.63odd justa
EV +29.91%
Vantagem +1.57%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescimento +0.497%

pressupondo odds máximas de 19.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.09%6.96%7.02%9.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.5013.4613.0019.0010.53%7.43%7.69%5.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +29.91%E +1.57%K +1.66%G +0.497%3.3%2026-03-21 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +23.07%E +1.28%K +1.36%G +0.313%2.6%2026-03-21 00:25
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 94.35%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%17.20I 5.81%NM 5.65%EV +17.60%E +1.02%K +1.09%G +0.191%2.9%2026-03-21 00:20
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.29%EV -3.11%E -2.99%K -77.77%G +0.000%17.17I 5.82%NM 5.71%EV +17.39%E +1.01%K +1.08%G +0.187%2.0%2026-03-20 23:45
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +16.23%E +0.955%K +1.01%G +0.165%3.9%2026-03-21 00:24
LowVig.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +16.23%E +0.955%K +1.01%G +0.165%3.9%2026-03-20 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +16.23%E +0.955%K +1.01%G +0.165%3.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +9.40%E +0.587%K +0.626%G +0.059%3.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +9.40%E +0.587%K +0.626%G +0.059%5.3%2026-03-21 00:20
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-20 23:45
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
PMU (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -6.84%E -6.84%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +2.56%E +0.171%K +0.183%G +0.005%6.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.11%E -2.99%K -77.77%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV -0.861%E -0.059%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -0.861%E -0.059%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:44
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -4.28%E -0.306%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.91I 7.19%NM 6.83%EV -4.89%E -0.352%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:20
Marathon Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -7.70%E -0.570%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:12
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:45
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:45
ReBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:59
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:15
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.12%E -0.855%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:45
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:25
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.91%E -5.85%K -590.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -14.53%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:25
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.11%E -2.99%K -77.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 00:15
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:25
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:20
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:20
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.95%E -1.50%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:25
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -24.79%E -2.25%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -24.79%E -2.25%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:45
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.04%E -3.92%K -134.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -28.21%E -2.69%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 00:25
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -31.63%E -3.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.97%E -4.88%K -248.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -35.05%E -3.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 00:22
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-21 00:15
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.76%2.0%2026-03-21 00:25
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.98%19.49I 5.13%NM 5.02%2.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 94.55%17.86I 5.60%NM 5.45%2.7%2026-03-21 00:25