Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala v Magda Linette

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 20:59 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prediction 54.74%1.83fair odd
EV +8.93%
Edge +4.49%
Kelly +9.02%
Growth +0.805%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.49%54.15%54.68%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.711.681.9964.10%58.45%59.52%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magda Linette (Visit)

Prediction 45.26%2.21fair odd
EV +4.10%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +3.16%
Growth +0.129%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%45.85%45.32%52.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.102.152.3055.56%47.54%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 54.74%; Magda Linette (Visit): 45.26%. For Alexandra Eala (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV +8.93%E +4.49%K +9.02%G +0.805%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -18.53%E -10.29%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +6.74%E +3.46%K +7.09%G +0.478%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -16.27%E -8.79%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.55%E +2.38%K +5.00%G +0.227%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -17.17%E -9.38%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.55%E +2.38%K +5.00%G +0.227%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.53%E -10.29%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.27%E +0.684%K +1.49%G +0.019%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.27%E +0.684%K +1.49%G +0.019%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV +0.718%E +0.390%K +0.855%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -14.91%E -7.93%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.47%E -0.817%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.47%E -0.817%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:55
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -17.62%E -9.68%K -21.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.66%E -2.08%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.76%E -2.73%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:54
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:54
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:54
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +2.29%E +1.01%K +1.82%G +0.042%2.4%2026-03-21 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:49
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:54
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:39
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:39
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.49%E -4.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.481%E +0.217%K +0.394%G +0.002%4.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:34
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -9.13%E -5.50%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV +0.029%E +0.013%K +0.024%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:38
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -9.13%E -5.50%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +4.10%E +1.78%K +3.16%G +0.129%4.1%2026-03-21 20:54
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:39
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -10.23%E -6.24%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +2.74%E +1.21%K +2.16%G +0.059%5.0%2026-03-21 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.32%E -6.99%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -11.32%E -6.99%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -4.04%E -1.91%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.87%E -7.37%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:54
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.42%E -7.76%K -20.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.84%E +0.817%K +1.47%G +0.027%6.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -12.97%E -8.15%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +4.10%E +1.78%K +3.16%G +0.129%6.4%2026-03-21 20:53
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.61%E -9.36%K -26.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 20:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-21 20:55
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-03-21 20:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-03-21 20:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-03-21 20:50
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-03-21 20:54