L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Magda Linette

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 20:59 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 54.74%1.83cote équitable
EV +8.93%
Avantage +4.49%
Kelly +9.02%
Croissance +0.805%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.49%54.15%54.68%59.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.711.681.9964.10%58.45%59.52%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Magda Linette (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.26%2.21cote équitable
EV +4.10%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +3.16%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.87%45.85%45.32%52.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.102.152.3055.56%47.54%46.51%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV +8.93%E +4.49%K +9.02%G +0.805%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -18.53%E -10.29%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +6.74%E +3.46%K +7.09%G +0.478%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -16.27%E -8.79%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.55%E +2.38%K +5.00%G +0.227%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -17.17%E -9.38%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.55%E +2.38%K +5.00%G +0.227%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.53%E -10.29%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.27%E +0.684%K +1.49%G +0.019%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.27%E +0.684%K +1.49%G +0.019%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV +0.718%E +0.390%K +0.855%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -14.91%E -7.93%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.47%E -0.817%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.47%E -0.817%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -17.62%E -9.68%K -21.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:55
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.66%E -2.08%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.76%E -2.73%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:54
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:54
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:54
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +2.29%E +1.01%K +1.82%G +0.042%2.4%2026-03-21 20:40
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:49
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:54
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.49%E -4.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.481%E +0.217%K +0.394%G +0.002%4.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:34
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:39
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:40
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -9.13%E -5.50%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV +0.029%E +0.013%K +0.024%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:38
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -9.13%E -5.50%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +4.10%E +1.78%K +3.16%G +0.129%4.1%2026-03-21 20:54
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:39
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -10.23%E -6.24%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +2.74%E +1.21%K +2.16%G +0.059%5.0%2026-03-21 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:54
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:40
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.32%E -6.99%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -11.32%E -6.99%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -4.04%E -1.91%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.87%E -7.37%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:54
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.42%E -7.76%K -20.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.84%E +0.817%K +1.47%G +0.027%6.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -12.97%E -8.15%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +4.10%E +1.78%K +3.16%G +0.129%6.4%2026-03-21 20:53
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.61%E -9.36%K -26.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 20:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-21 20:55
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-03-21 20:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-03-21 20:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-03-21 20:50
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-03-21 20:54