La escuela de los momios

Alexandra Eala v Magda Linette

Inicio: 2026-03-21 20:59 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Predicción 54.74%1.83momio equitativo
EV +8.93%
Ventaja +4.49%
Kelly +9.02%
Crecimiento +0.805%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.49%54.15%54.68%59.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.711.681.9964.10%58.45%59.52%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Predicción 45.26%2.21momio equitativo
EV +4.10%
Ventaja +1.78%
Kelly +3.16%
Crecimiento +0.129%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.87%45.85%45.32%52.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.102.152.3055.56%47.54%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV +8.93%E +4.49%K +9.02%G +0.805%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -18.53%E -10.29%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +6.74%E +3.46%K +7.09%G +0.478%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -16.27%E -8.79%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.55%E +2.38%K +5.00%G +0.227%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -17.17%E -9.38%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.55%E +2.38%K +5.00%G +0.227%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.53%E -10.29%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.27%E +0.684%K +1.49%G +0.019%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.27%E +0.684%K +1.49%G +0.019%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:55
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV +0.718%E +0.390%K +0.855%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -14.91%E -7.93%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.47%E -0.817%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.47%E -0.817%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -2.57%E -1.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -17.62%E -9.68%K -21.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:55
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.11%E -1.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.66%E -2.08%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.76%E -2.73%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:54
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:54
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.30%E -3.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:54
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +2.29%E +1.01%K +1.82%G +0.042%2.4%2026-03-21 20:40
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:49
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:54
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.40%E -3.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.49%E -4.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.481%E +0.217%K +0.394%G +0.002%4.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.04%E -4.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:34
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:39
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.59%E -5.14%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:40
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -9.13%E -5.50%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV +0.029%E +0.013%K +0.024%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:38
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -9.13%E -5.50%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +4.10%E +1.78%K +3.16%G +0.129%4.1%2026-03-21 20:54
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.33%E -0.610%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.68%E -5.87%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:39
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -10.23%E -6.24%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +2.74%E +1.21%K +2.16%G +0.059%5.0%2026-03-21 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:54
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:40
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.78%E -6.61%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.32%E -6.99%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -11.32%E -6.99%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -4.04%E -1.91%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.87%E -7.37%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 20:54
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.42%E -7.76%K -20.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.84%E +0.817%K +1.47%G +0.027%6.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -12.97%E -8.15%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +4.10%E +1.78%K +3.16%G +0.129%6.4%2026-03-21 20:53
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.61%E -9.36%K -26.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.424%E -0.193%K -0.353%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 20:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-21 20:55
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-03-21 20:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-03-21 20:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-03-21 20:50
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-03-21 20:54