Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala v Laura Siegemund

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prediction 67.83%1.47fair odd
EV +9.20%
Edge +5.71%
Kelly +15.08%
Growth +1.39%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%67.07%68.15%70.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.421.6175.19%69.74%70.67%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Laura Siegemund (Visit)

Prediction 32.17%3.11fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.924%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%32.93%31.85%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.772.833.2042.55%36.04%35.40%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 67.83%; Laura Siegemund (Visit): 32.17%. For Alexandra Eala (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.47. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +9.20%E +5.71%K +15.08%G +1.39%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -24.39%E -10.38%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -16.67%E -6.44%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -18.60%E -7.35%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -18.60%E -7.35%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +5.13%E +3.31%K +9.33%G +0.479%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV +4.45%E +2.89%K +8.25%G +0.367%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -21.17%E -8.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:00
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -18.92%E -7.51%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:04
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:06
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -23.43%E -9.84%K -16.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV +2.42%E +1.60%K +4.74%G +0.115%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -21.50%E -8.81%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 16:09
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.74%E -5.56%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 16:13
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -16.35%E -6.29%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 15:59
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:12
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -21.17%E -8.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:13
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:14
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.36%E -3.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.08%E -5.17%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.261%E -0.084%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +2.96%E +0.924%K +1.34%G +0.040%4.8%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 16:14
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -8.43%E -6.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +1.67%E +0.528%K +0.773%G +0.013%5.7%2026-03-19 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.43%E -6.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.613%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.11%E -6.80%K -26.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.87%E -0.613%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.11%E -6.80%K -26.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +2.96%E +0.924%K +1.34%G +0.040%6.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-19 16:14
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-19 16:15
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%2.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%4.2%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%6.1%2026-03-19 16:15