L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Laura Siegemund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 67.83%1.47cote équitable
EV +9.20%
Avantage +5.71%
Kelly +15.08%
Croissance +1.39%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.34%67.07%68.15%70.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.431.421.6175.19%69.74%70.67%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Laura Siegemund (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.17%3.11cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +0.924%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.36%32.93%31.85%40.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.772.833.2042.55%36.04%35.40%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +9.20%E +5.71%K +15.08%G +1.39%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -24.39%E -10.38%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -16.67%E -6.44%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 16:05
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -18.60%E -7.35%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -18.60%E -7.35%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 16:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +5.13%E +3.31%K +9.33%G +0.479%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV +4.45%E +2.89%K +8.25%G +0.367%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -21.17%E -8.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:00
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -18.92%E -7.51%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:04
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:06
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -23.43%E -9.84%K -16.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:09
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV +2.42%E +1.60%K +4.74%G +0.115%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -21.50%E -8.81%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 16:09
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.74%E -5.56%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 16:13
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -16.35%E -6.29%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 15:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:12
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -21.17%E -8.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:13
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:14
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.36%E -3.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:14
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:15
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:15
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.08%E -5.17%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.261%E -0.084%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +2.96%E +0.924%K +1.34%G +0.040%4.8%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 16:14
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -8.43%E -6.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +1.67%E +0.528%K +0.773%G +0.013%5.7%2026-03-19 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.43%E -6.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.613%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.11%E -6.80%K -26.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.87%E -0.613%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.11%E -6.80%K -26.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +2.96%E +0.924%K +1.34%G +0.040%6.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-19 16:14
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-19 16:15
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%2.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%4.2%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%6.1%2026-03-19 16:15