La escuela de los momios

Alexandra Eala v Laura Siegemund

Inicio: 2026-03-19 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Predicción 67.83%1.47momio equitativo
EV +9.20%
Ventaja +5.71%
Kelly +15.08%
Crecimiento +1.39%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.34%67.07%68.15%70.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.431.421.6175.19%69.74%70.67%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Laura Siegemund (Visitante)

Predicción 32.17%3.11momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.924%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%32.93%31.85%40.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.772.833.2042.55%36.04%35.40%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +9.20%E +5.71%K +15.08%G +1.39%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -24.39%E -10.38%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -16.67%E -6.44%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 16:05
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -18.60%E -7.35%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -18.60%E -7.35%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +5.81%E +3.72%K +10.37%G +0.603%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 16:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +5.13%E +3.31%K +9.33%G +0.479%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV +4.45%E +2.89%K +8.25%G +0.367%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -21.17%E -8.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:00
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -18.92%E -7.51%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:04
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:06
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +3.77%E +2.47%K +7.12%G +0.269%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -23.43%E -9.84%K -16.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:09
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +3.10%E +2.04%K +5.95%G +0.184%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -22.78%E -9.49%K -16.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV +2.42%E +1.60%K +4.74%G +0.115%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -21.50%E -8.81%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 16:09
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.74%E -5.56%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 16:13
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -16.35%E -6.29%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 15:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -19.57%E -7.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:12
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +1.74%E +1.16%K +3.48%G +0.061%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -21.17%E -8.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:13
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.69%E -2.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:14
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.36%E -3.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:14
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:15
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:15
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.40%E -4.64%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.08%E -5.17%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.261%E -0.084%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +2.96%E +0.924%K +1.34%G +0.040%4.8%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.76%E -5.70%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 16:14
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -8.43%E -6.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +1.67%E +0.528%K +0.773%G +0.013%5.7%2026-03-19 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.43%E -6.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.613%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.11%E -6.80%K -26.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.87%E -0.613%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.11%E -6.80%K -26.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +2.96%E +0.924%K +1.34%G +0.040%6.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-19 16:14
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-19 16:15
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%2.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%4.2%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%6.1%2026-03-19 16:15