Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Petra Marcinko v Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 09:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Prediction 69.83%1.43fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.92%69.78%69.84%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.68%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit)

Prediction 30.17%3.31fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.588%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.22%30.16%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.153.2734.48%31.93%31.75%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Petra Marcinko (Local): 69.83%; Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit): 30.17%. For Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.27, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -7.67%E -2.51%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 08:59
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.24%E -1.60%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:00
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -2.94%E -2.12%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -10.08%E -3.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 08:59
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 08:59
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 08:59
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.56%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 09:00
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:58
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:00
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -4.35%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 08:59
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:59
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.43%E -4.80%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 08:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.83%E -5.93%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%3.8%2026-04-21 09:00