L’École des cotes

Petra Marcinko v Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 09:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Prévision 69.83%1.43cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -3.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.92%69.78%69.84%70.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.68%73.53%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.17%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.408%
Kelly -0.588%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.50%30.22%30.16%32.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.153.2734.48%31.93%31.75%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -7.67%E -2.51%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 08:59
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.24%E -1.60%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:00
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -2.94%E -2.12%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -10.08%E -3.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 08:59
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 08:59
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 09:00
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 08:59
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.56%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 09:00
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:58
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:00
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:00
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -4.35%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 08:59
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:59
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.43%E -4.80%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.83%E -5.93%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%3.8%2026-04-21 09:00