A Escola das Odds

Petra Marcinko v Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Início: 2026-04-21 09:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Previsão 69.83%1.43odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.92%69.78%69.84%70.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.68%73.53%70.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visitante)

Previsão 30.17%3.31odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.408%
Kelly -0.588%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.50%30.22%30.16%32.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.133.153.2734.48%31.93%31.75%30.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -7.67%E -2.51%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 08:59
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.24%E -1.60%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:00
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -2.94%E -2.12%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -10.08%E -3.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 08:59
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 08:59
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.64%E -2.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 09:00
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 08:59
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.56%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 09:00
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:58
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.34%E -3.17%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:00
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.94%E -0.596%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:00
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -4.35%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 08:59
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.04%E -3.70%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:59
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.73%E -4.25%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.43%E -4.80%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:00
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.13%E -5.36%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.83%E -5.93%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 09:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%3.8%2026-04-21 09:00