Language:English
Mirra Andreeva v Marta Kostyuk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mirra Andreeva (Local)
Prediction 48.56%2.06fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.943%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.48%49.24%48.74%58.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.891.912.1060.98%52.99%52.36%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marta Kostyuk (Visit)
Prediction 51.44%1.94fair odd
EV +16.77%
Edge +7.39%
Kelly +13.20%
Growth +2.21%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.94%50.76%51.26%54.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.911.812.2758.48%52.44%55.40%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 48.56%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 51.44%. For Marta Kostyuk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -20.36%E -12.41%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +16.77%E +7.39%K +13.20%G +2.21% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +15.74%E +6.99%K +12.59%G +1.98% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +15.74%E +6.99%K +12.59%G +1.98% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -14.53%E -8.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -18.90%E -11.32%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -18.90%E -11.32%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 15:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV +11.62%E +5.36%K +9.93%G +1.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +10.59%E +4.93%K +9.21%G +0.976% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +10.59%E +4.93%K +9.21%G +0.976% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -14.05%E -7.94%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV +10.08%E +4.71%K +8.84%G +0.891% | 3.2% | 2026-05-02 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -17.45%E -10.26%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +9.05%E +4.27%K +8.08%G +0.731% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 14:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -13.56%E -7.62%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.88%E +1.44%K +2.88%G +0.083% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.88%E +1.44%K +2.88%G +0.083% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.210%E -0.108%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.13%E -6.08%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.75%E -0.918%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -5.79%E -2.98%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.65%E -5.79%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 15:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV +1.01%E +0.485%K +0.934%G +0.009% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV +1.01%E +0.485%K +0.934%G +0.009% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV +0.037%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:16 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:11 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |