La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mirra Andreeva v Marta Kostyuk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mirra Andreeva (Local)
Predicción 48.56%2.06momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.943%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.48%49.24%48.74%58.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.891.912.1060.98%52.99%52.36%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marta Kostyuk (Visitante)
Predicción 51.44%1.94momio equitativo
EV +16.77%
Ventaja +7.39%
Kelly +13.20%
Crecimiento +2.21%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.94%50.76%51.26%54.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.911.812.2758.48%52.44%55.40%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -20.36%E -12.41%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +16.77%E +7.39%K +13.20%G +2.21% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +15.74%E +6.99%K +12.59%G +1.98% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +15.74%E +6.99%K +12.59%G +1.98% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -14.53%E -8.26%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 15:04 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -18.90%E -11.32%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -18.90%E -11.32%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 15:03 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV +11.62%E +5.36%K +9.93%G +1.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +10.59%E +4.93%K +9.21%G +0.976% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +10.59%E +4.93%K +9.21%G +0.976% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -14.05%E -7.94%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV +10.08%E +4.71%K +8.84%G +0.891% | 3.2% | 2026-05-02 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -17.45%E -10.26%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +9.05%E +4.27%K +8.08%G +0.731% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:04 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 15:04 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 14:58 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -13.56%E -7.62%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.88%E +1.44%K +2.88%G +0.083% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.88%E +1.44%K +2.88%G +0.083% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.210%E -0.108%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.13%E -6.08%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.75%E -0.918%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -5.79%E -2.98%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.65%E -5.79%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 15:16 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV +1.01%E +0.485%K +0.934%G +0.009% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV +1.01%E +0.485%K +0.934%G +0.009% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV +0.037%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:16 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:11 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 15:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Novig | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |