L’École des cotes

Mirra Andreeva v Marta Kostyuk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prévision 48.56%2.06cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.943%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.48%49.24%48.74%58.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.891.912.1060.98%52.99%52.36%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marta Kostyuk (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.44%1.94cote équitable
EV +16.77%
Avantage +7.39%
Kelly +13.20%
Croissance +2.21%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.94%50.76%51.26%54.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.911.812.2758.48%52.44%55.40%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -20.36%E -12.41%K -31.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +16.77%E +7.39%K +13.20%G +2.21%5.0%2026-05-02 15:06
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +15.74%E +6.99%K +12.59%G +1.98%5.1%2026-05-02 15:06
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +15.74%E +6.99%K +12.59%G +1.98%5.1%2026-05-02 15:06
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -14.53%E -8.26%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44%2.3%2026-05-02 15:06
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44%3.9%2026-05-02 15:05
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44%3.9%2026-05-02 15:05
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44%4.6%2026-05-02 15:04
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -18.90%E -11.32%K -28.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44%5.3%2026-05-02 15:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -18.90%E -11.32%K -28.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.16%E +5.98%K +10.97%G +1.44%5.3%2026-05-02 15:03
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV +11.62%E +5.36%K +9.93%G +1.15%5.3%2026-05-02 14:59
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +10.59%E +4.93%K +9.21%G +0.976%5.0%2026-05-02 15:05
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -17.93%E -10.61%K -25.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +10.59%E +4.93%K +9.21%G +0.976%5.7%2026-05-02 15:06
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -14.05%E -7.94%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV +10.08%E +4.71%K +8.84%G +0.891%3.2%2026-05-02 14:59
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -17.45%E -10.26%K -24.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +9.05%E +4.27%K +8.08%G +0.731%6.0%2026-05-02 15:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585%8.2%2026-05-02 15:04
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585%8.2%2026-05-02 15:04
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -19.87%E -12.04%K -30.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +8.02%E +3.82%K +7.29%G +0.585%8.2%2026-05-02 14:58
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -13.56%E -7.62%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%5.0%2026-05-02 15:14
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.88%E +1.44%K +2.88%G +0.083%5.6%2026-05-02 15:14
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.88%E +1.44%K +2.88%G +0.083%5.6%2026-05-02 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.210%E -0.108%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 15:15
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.13%E -6.08%K -13.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.75%E -0.918%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:14
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 15:15
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 15:14
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -12.59%E -6.99%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 15:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:15
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 15:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 15:15
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 15:15
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -5.79%E -2.98%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.65%E -5.79%K -12.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:16
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:15
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.943%K +1.80%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:15
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV +1.01%E +0.485%K +0.934%G +0.009%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV +1.01%E +0.485%K +0.934%G +0.009%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 15:15
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:15
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV +0.037%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 15:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:15
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:16
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:15
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:11
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:15
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 15:15
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 15:15
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 15:15
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:15
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 15:15
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -1.91%E -0.943%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 15:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-05-02 15:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-05-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-02 15:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-05-02 15:15
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%3.0%2026-05-02 15:15
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%6.1%2026-05-02 15:15
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%6.7%2026-05-02 15:15