Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marie Bouzkova v Anhelina Kalinina

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prediction 52.76%1.90fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.07%52.63%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.781.8658.82%56.39%56.18%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anhelina Kalinina (Visit)

Prediction 47.24%2.12fair odd
EV -0.805%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.93%47.37%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.032.1052.36%49.17%49.26%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 52.76%; Anhelina Kalinina (Visit): 47.24%. For Anhelina Kalinina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.805%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -1.86%E -0.999%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.36%E -4.31%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.78%E -5.12%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:24
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:24
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:24
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:24
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:25
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%3.3%2026-04-23 12:25