La escuela de los momios

Marie Bouzkova v Anhelina Kalinina

Inicio: 2026-04-23 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 52.76%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.999%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%53.07%52.63%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.781.8658.82%56.39%56.18%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anhelina Kalinina (Visitante)

Predicción 47.24%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.805%
Ventaja -0.383%
Kelly -0.732%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%46.93%47.37%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.032.1052.36%49.17%49.26%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -1.86%E -0.999%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Coolbet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.36%E -4.31%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.78%E -5.12%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:24
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:24
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:24
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:24
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:18
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%3.3%2026-04-23 12:25