L’École des cotes

Marie Bouzkova v Anhelina Kalinina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prévision 52.76%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.999%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%53.07%52.63%55.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.781.8658.82%56.39%56.18%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anhelina Kalinina (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.24%2.12cote équitable
EV -0.805%
Avantage -0.383%
Kelly -0.732%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%46.93%47.37%48.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.032.1052.36%49.17%49.26%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -1.86%E -0.999%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Coolbet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.36%E -4.31%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.78%E -5.12%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:24
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:24
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:25
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:25
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:24
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:24
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:25
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:24
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.805%E -0.383%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:18
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.75%E -0.841%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 12:25
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%3.3%2026-04-23 12:25