Language:English
Magdalena Frech v Solana Sierra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Prediction 55.84%1.79fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.81%55.91%58.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.11%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Solana Sierra (Visit)
Prediction 44.16%2.26fair odd
EV +0.249%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.196%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.65%44.19%44.09%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2748.78%46.53%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 55.84%; Solana Sierra (Visit): 44.16%. For Solana Sierra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.249%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.196%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.17%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.82%E -3.23%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 19:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 21:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 19:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |