L’École des cotes

Magdalena Frech v Solana Sierra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prévision 55.84%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -3.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%55.81%55.91%58.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.11%59.52%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Solana Sierra (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.16%2.26cote équitable
EV +0.249%
Avantage +0.110%
Kelly +0.196%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.65%44.19%44.09%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.152.152.2748.78%46.53%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.196%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:15
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:44
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 20:35
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:44
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:19
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:34
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.17%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:54
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:14
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:15
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:40
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:39
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:14
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.82%E -3.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:13
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:39
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:45
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:39
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 19:28
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:45
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-04-23 23:45