La scuola delle quote

Magdalena Frech v Solana Sierra

Inizio: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Magdalena Frech (Casa)

Previsione 55.84%1.79quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -3.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%55.81%55.91%58.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.11%59.52%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Solana Sierra (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.16%2.26quota equa
EV +0.249%
Vantaggio +0.110%
Kelly +0.196%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.65%44.19%44.09%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.152.152.2748.78%46.53%46.51%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.196%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:15
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:44
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 20:35
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:44
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:19
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:34
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.17%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:54
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:14
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:15
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:40
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:39
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:14
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.31%E -4.40%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.82%E -3.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:13
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:39
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:45
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:39
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 19:28
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-23 23:45
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-04-23 23:45