Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.17
assuming max odds 6.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 83.90%; Emiliana Arango (Visit): 16.10%. For Emiliana Arango (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.21. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +9.50%E +1.40%K +1.64%G +0.155% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +7.89%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.109% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.11%E +0.928%K +1.09%G +0.067% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.11%E +0.928%K +1.09%G +0.067% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.77%EV -1.84%E -1.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 15.23%EV +4.83%E +0.741%K +0.876%G +0.042% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +4.66%E +0.718%K +0.848%G +0.040% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.66%E +0.718%K +0.848%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.639%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +0.478%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.78%E -0.291%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 19:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.71%E -7.01%K -77.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.00%E -0.847%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV -5.32%E -0.905%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -5.80%E -0.992%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.71%E -7.01%K -77.12%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -14.66%E -2.77%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 00:08 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |