La escuela de los momios

Linda Noskova v Emiliana Arango

Inicio: 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Predicción 83.90%1.19momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -10.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%83.72%83.87%85.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1790.91%88.09%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emiliana Arango (Visitante)

Predicción 16.10%6.21momio equitativo
EV +9.50%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.155%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.03%16.28%16.13%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.735.706.8020.00%17.46%17.54%14.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +9.50%E +1.40%K +1.64%G +0.155%4.8%2026-04-23 19:50
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +7.89%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.109%5.0%2026-04-23 19:29
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.11%E +0.928%K +1.09%G +0.067%4.5%2026-04-24 00:19
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.11%E +0.928%K +1.09%G +0.067%4.5%2026-04-24 00:19
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.77%EV -1.84%E -1.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 15.23%EV +4.83%E +0.741%K +0.876%G +0.042%0.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +4.66%E +0.718%K +0.848%G +0.040%3.9%2026-04-23 19:35
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.66%E +0.718%K +0.848%G +0.040%5.5%2026-04-23 19:29
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.639%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-23 21:00
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +0.478%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:35
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:49
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.78%E -0.291%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 19:37
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 22:20
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:40
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 00:19
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.71%E -7.01%K -77.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.00%E -0.847%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:39
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV -5.32%E -0.905%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -5.80%E -0.992%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 23:20
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:05
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:54
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:40
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:29
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.71%E -7.01%K -77.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:44
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:54
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:55
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:54
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:54
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:04
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -14.66%E -2.77%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:34
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:40
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:34
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:35
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:39
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:24
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-23 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-23 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-23 20:35
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-24 00:45
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07%3.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%4.0%2026-04-24 02:30