L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Emiliana Arango

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 83.90%1.19cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -10.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%83.72%83.87%85.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.141.1790.91%88.09%87.72%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emiliana Arango (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.10%6.21cote équitable
EV +9.50%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.155%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.03%16.28%16.13%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.735.706.8020.00%17.46%17.54%14.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +9.50%E +1.40%K +1.64%G +0.155%4.8%2026-04-23 19:50
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +7.89%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.109%5.0%2026-04-23 19:29
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.11%E +0.928%K +1.09%G +0.067%4.5%2026-04-24 00:19
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.11%E +0.928%K +1.09%G +0.067%4.5%2026-04-24 00:19
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.77%EV -1.84%E -1.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 15.23%EV +4.83%E +0.741%K +0.876%G +0.042%0.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +4.66%E +0.718%K +0.848%G +0.040%3.9%2026-04-23 19:35
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.66%E +0.718%K +0.848%G +0.040%5.5%2026-04-23 19:29
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.639%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-23 21:00
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +0.478%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:35
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:49
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -0.166%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.78%E -0.291%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 19:37
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 22:20
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:40
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.87%E -6.19%K -62.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 00:19
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.71%E -7.01%K -77.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.39%E -0.564%K -0.677%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.00%E -0.847%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:39
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV -5.32%E -0.905%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -5.80%E -0.992%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 23:20
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:05
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:54
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:40
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.20%E -4.60%K -39.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:29
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.71%E -7.01%K -77.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:44
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:54
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:55
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:54
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:54
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:04
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:34
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -14.66%E -2.77%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:34
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.52%E -3.06%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:40
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:34
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.46%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:35
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:39
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.36%E -3.82%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:24
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.03%E -5.39%K -50.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-23 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-23 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-23 20:35
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-24 00:45
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07%3.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%4.0%2026-04-24 02:30