Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.24
assuming max odds 7.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 82.98%; Julia Grabher (Visit): 17.02%. For Julia Grabher (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.63%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +27.63%E +3.68%K +4.25%G +1.17% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +27.63%E +3.68%K +4.25%G +1.17% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +10.61%E +1.63%K +1.93%G +0.205% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV +0.403%E +0.068%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.30%E -0.224%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -9.55%E -8.76%K -106.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -1.30%E -0.224%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.15%E -0.374%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.15%E -0.374%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.15%E -0.374%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.06%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.713%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.57%EV -0.421%E -0.351%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.43%EV -9.64%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.21%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.31%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.69%EV -13.38%E -2.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.67%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -16.61%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.13%EV +0.409%E +0.338%K +1.95%G +0.008% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.87%EV -16.95%E -3.47%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.17%E -4.04%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -0.421%E -0.351%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -20.02%E -4.26%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -0.421%E -0.351%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -21.72%E -4.72%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -1.25%E -1.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -22.57%E -4.96%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 16:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -1.25%E -1.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -22.57%E -4.96%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -23.42%E -5.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -25.12%E -5.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -25.12%E -5.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -26.82%E -6.24%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV +2.07%E +1.68%K +8.99%G +0.186% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -27.34%E -6.40%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV +2.07%E +1.68%K +8.99%G +0.186% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -27.34%E -6.40%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV +2.90%E +2.34%K +12.08%G +0.350% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -31.93%E -7.98%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |