La escuela de los momios

Leylah Fernandez v Julia Grabher

Inicio: 2026-04-23 16:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 82.98%1.21momio equitativo
EV +2.90%
Ventaja +2.34%
Kelly +12.08%
Crecimiento +0.350%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.34%82.72%83.07%87.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.151.151.2494.34%87.08%86.96%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Julia Grabher (Visitante)

Predicción 17.02%5.88momio equitativo
EV +27.63%
Ventaja +3.68%
Kelly +4.25%
Crecimiento +1.17%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.38%17.28%16.93%23.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.005.285.307.5025.00%18.94%18.87%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +27.63%E +3.68%K +4.25%G +1.17%7.7%2026-04-23 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +27.63%E +3.68%K +4.25%G +1.17%7.7%2026-04-23 16:40
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +10.61%E +1.63%K +1.93%G +0.205%6.3%2026-04-23 16:39
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%5.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%6.0%2026-04-23 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%7.6%2026-04-23 16:40
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV +0.403%E +0.068%K +0.082%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:40
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.30%E -0.224%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -9.55%E -8.76%K -106.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -1.30%E -0.224%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.15%E -0.374%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.15%E -0.374%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.15%E -0.374%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:40
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.06%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV -4.02%E -0.713%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:40
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:40
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:38
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:39
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:40
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:39
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.57%EV -0.421%E -0.351%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.43%EV -9.64%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-23 16:35
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.81%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:40
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.23%E -5.51%K -47.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:40
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:35
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.21%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:20
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.31%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.69%EV -13.38%E -2.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:19
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:38
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:19
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:40
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:39
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:40
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.57%E -3.97%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:35
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:34
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.67%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -16.61%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 16:35
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.13%EV +0.409%E +0.338%K +1.95%G +0.008%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.87%EV -16.95%E -3.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 16:29
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.17%E -4.04%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -0.421%E -0.351%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -20.02%E -4.26%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -0.421%E -0.351%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -21.72%E -4.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:28
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -1.25%E -1.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -22.57%E -4.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:28
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -1.25%E -1.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -22.57%E -4.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -7.06%E -6.30%K -58.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -23.42%E -5.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:39
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -25.12%E -5.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -25.12%E -5.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -2.08%E -1.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -26.82%E -6.24%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:19
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV +2.07%E +1.68%K +8.99%G +0.186%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -27.34%E -6.40%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV +2.07%E +1.68%K +8.99%G +0.186%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -27.34%E -6.40%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV +2.90%E +2.34%K +12.08%G +0.350%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -31.93%E -7.98%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-23 16:40
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-23 16:40
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%3.0%2026-04-23 16:40