Language:English
Laura Siegemund v Irina-Camelia Begu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Prediction 65.58%1.52fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.74%65.58%68.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.43%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Irina-Camelia Begu (Visit)
Prediction 34.42%2.91fair odd
EV +3.61%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 3.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.44%34.26%34.42%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.753.0138.46%36.66%36.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laura Siegemund (Local): 65.58%; Irina-Camelia Begu (Visit): 34.42%. For Irina-Camelia Begu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +3.61%E +1.20%K +1.79%G +0.065% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -0.525%E -0.182%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.869%E -0.302%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.31%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 10:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -1.63%E -1.09%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -5.00%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 10:43 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 10:42 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 10:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 10:43 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87% | 3.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |