L’École des cotes

Laura Siegemund v Irina-Camelia Begu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 10:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Prévision 65.58%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -3.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.74%65.58%68.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.43%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Irina-Camelia Begu (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.42%2.91cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.44%34.26%34.42%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.732.753.0138.46%36.66%36.36%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +3.61%E +1.20%K +1.79%G +0.065%5.7%2026-04-21 10:45
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -0.525%E -0.182%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 10:45
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.869%E -0.302%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 10:40
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 10:45
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.31%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 10:44
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -1.63%E -1.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -5.00%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:43
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:42
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:41
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 10:43
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:40
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 10:39
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%3.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%6.6%2026-04-21 10:45