La escuela de los momios

Laura Siegemund v Irina-Camelia Begu

Inicio: 2026-04-21 10:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Predicción 65.58%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -3.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.74%65.58%68.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.43%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Irina-Camelia Begu (Visitante)

Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.065%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.44%34.26%34.42%36.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.732.753.0138.46%36.66%36.36%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +3.61%E +1.20%K +1.79%G +0.065%5.7%2026-04-21 10:45
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -0.525%E -0.182%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 10:45
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.869%E -0.302%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 10:40
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 10:45
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.31%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 10:44
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -1.63%E -1.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -5.00%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:43
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:42
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:41
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.91%E -3.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 10:43
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.88%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:40
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.94%E -1.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 10:39
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.57%E -3.86%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%3.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%6.6%2026-04-21 10:45