Language:English
Janice Tjen v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Janice Tjen (Local)
Prediction 35.80%2.79fair odd
EV +0.245%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.136%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.73%35.82%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.662.8040.82%37.37%37.59%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 64.20%1.56fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.27%64.18%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.481.5370.42%68.17%67.80%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 35.80%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 64.20%. For Janice Tjen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.245%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -0.471%E -0.170%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.19%E -0.430%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.26%E -0.828%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.34%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.06%E -2.03%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.34%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.41%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 20:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.34%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.34%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.27%E -4.29%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.20%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.20%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.06%E -3.57%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.29%E -5.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.29%E -5.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40% | 2.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |