L’École des cotes

Janice Tjen v Liudmila Samsonova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prévision 35.80%2.79cote équitable
EV +0.245%
Avantage +0.087%
Kelly +0.136%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.81%35.73%35.82%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.682.662.8040.82%37.37%37.59%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.20%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%64.27%64.18%66.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.471.481.5370.42%68.17%67.80%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
SportsBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -0.471%E -0.170%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.19%E -0.430%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 21:00
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 17:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:30
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:44
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:40
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.26%E -0.828%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 21:25
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.34%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.06%E -2.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.34%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 21:24
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.41%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:00
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 20:56
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 19:50
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.34%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.34%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:59
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:50
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.27%E -4.29%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:10
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.20%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.20%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:09
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:24
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:29
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:25
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:10
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:05
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.06%E -3.57%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:14
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.29%E -5.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.29%E -5.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-04-24 02:35