La escuela de los momios

Janice Tjen v Liudmila Samsonova

Inicio: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Janice Tjen (Local)

Predicción 35.80%2.79momio equitativo
EV +0.245%
Ventaja +0.087%
Kelly +0.136%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.81%35.73%35.82%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.682.662.8040.82%37.37%37.59%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Predicción 64.20%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -3.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.27%64.18%66.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.481.5370.42%68.17%67.80%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:39
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.245%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:45
SportsBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -0.471%E -0.170%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.19%E -0.430%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 21:00
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 17:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.55%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:30
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.20%E -5.73%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:44
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.55%E -0.562%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:40
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.26%E -0.828%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 21:25
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.34%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.06%E -2.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.34%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 21:24
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.41%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:00
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 20:56
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 19:50
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.34%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.34%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:59
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:50
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.27%E -4.29%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.13%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.84%E -6.22%K -21.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:10
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.20%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.20%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:09
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:09
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:24
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:29
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.92%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:25
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:10
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.71%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:05
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.06%E -3.57%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.78%E -1.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:14
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.50%E -4.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.29%E -5.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.29%E -5.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-04-24 02:35