Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Ann Li
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 90.37%1.11fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -47.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.85%90.31%90.18%92.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.13%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ann Li (Visit)
Prediction 9.63%10.38fair odd
EV +29.09%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +2.35%
Growth +0.683%
assuming max odds 13.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.27%9.69%9.82%13.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.809.449.0013.4014.71%10.59%11.11%7.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 90.37%; Ann Li (Visit): 9.63%. For Ann Li (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.38. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.73%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.27%EV +29.09%E +2.17%K +2.35%G +0.683% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.68%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.32%EV +28.13%E +2.12%K +2.29%G +0.643% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +25.24%E +1.94%K +2.10%G +0.531% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 20:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.15%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.85%EV +17.53%E +1.44%K +1.57%G +0.274% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +15.61%E +1.30%K +1.42%G +0.221% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.79%E +0.938%K +1.03%G +0.111% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 02:27 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.83%E -7.67%K -391.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -8.73%E -8.64%K -873.02%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.64%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.36%EV -3.95%E -0.396%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -5.59%E -0.570%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -6.07%E -0.623%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -6.07%E -0.623%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.48%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.48%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.89%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.89%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -26.78%E -3.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -32.56%E -4.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -34.49%E -5.07%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 87.59% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.41% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |