StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek v Ann Li

Matchstart: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek (Hemma)

Prognos 90.37%1.11rättvist odds
EV -3.31%
Fördel -3.09%
Kelly -47.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.07

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
86.85%90.31%90.18%92.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.13%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ann Li (Borta)

Prognos 9.63%10.38rättvist odds
EV +29.09%
Fördel +2.17%
Kelly +2.35%
Tillväxt +0.683%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.27%9.69%9.82%13.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.809.449.0013.4014.71%10.59%11.11%7.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Iga Swiatek (Hemma): 90.37%; Ann Li (Borta): 9.63%. För Ann Li (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.38. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 13.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +29.09%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.73%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 7.27%EV +29.09%E +2.17%K +2.35%G +0.683%2.7%2026-04-23 20:49
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.68%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.32%EV +28.13%E +2.12%K +2.29%G +0.643%2.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +25.24%E +1.94%K +2.10%G +0.531%3.8%2026-04-23 20:48
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.15%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.85%EV +17.53%E +1.44%K +1.57%G +0.274%4.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +15.61%E +1.30%K +1.42%G +0.221%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.79%E +0.938%K +1.03%G +0.111%3.0%2026-04-23 20:50
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036%4.3%2026-04-24 02:27
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.83%E -7.67%K -391.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036%7.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -8.73%E -8.64%K -873.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036%8.1%2026-04-23 19:05
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:20
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:30
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:30
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:29
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:25
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.64%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.36%EV -3.95%E -0.396%K -0.440%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -5.59%E -0.570%K -0.635%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:14
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -6.07%E -0.623%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -6.07%E -0.623%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:20
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.48%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.48%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.89%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:49
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.89%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:19
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:49
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -26.78%E -3.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -32.56%E -4.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -34.49%E -5.07%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 20:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 87.59%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.41%11.9%2026-04-24 03:05