A Escola das Odds

Iga Swiatek v Ann Li

Início: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 90.37%1.11odd justa
EV -3.31%
Vantagem -3.09%
Kelly -47.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.85%90.31%90.18%92.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.13%95.24%93.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ann Li (Visitante)

Previsão 9.63%10.38odd justa
EV +29.09%
Vantagem +2.17%
Kelly +2.35%
Crescimento +0.683%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.27%9.69%9.82%13.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.809.449.0013.4014.71%10.59%11.11%7.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 92.73%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 7.27%EV +29.09%E +2.17%K +2.35%G +0.683%2.7%2026-04-23 20:49
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 92.68%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.32%EV +28.13%E +2.12%K +2.29%G +0.643%2.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +25.24%E +1.94%K +2.10%G +0.531%3.8%2026-04-23 20:48
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 92.15%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.85%EV +17.53%E +1.44%K +1.57%G +0.274%4.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +15.61%E +1.30%K +1.42%G +0.221%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.79%E +0.938%K +1.03%G +0.111%3.0%2026-04-23 20:50
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036%4.3%2026-04-24 02:27
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.83%E -7.67%K -391.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036%7.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -8.73%E -8.64%K -873.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +5.97%E +0.543%K +0.597%G +0.036%8.1%2026-04-23 19:05
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:20
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:30
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:30
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:24
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:29
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -3.66%E -0.366%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:25
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 90.64%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.36%EV -3.95%E -0.396%K -0.440%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:29
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -5.59%E -0.570%K -0.635%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:14
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -6.07%E -0.623%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -6.07%E -0.623%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:20
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.48%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.48%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.89%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:49
BetMGM1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.89%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:19
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:30
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:30
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:29
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -13.30%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:45
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:44
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:04
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:45
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:45
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:45
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.93%E -2.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:49
ReBet1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -26.78%E -3.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -32.56%E -4.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.76%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -34.49%E -5.07%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 87.59%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.41%11.9%2026-04-24 03:05