Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi v Anna Kalinskaya

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 12:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV +12.28%
Edge +2.84%
Kelly +3.69%
Growth +0.453%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%26.93%25.70%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.353.404.3340.00%29.84%29.41%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)

Prediction 74.07%1.35fair odd
EV +13.33%
Edge +8.71%
Kelly +25.15%
Growth +3.35%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%73.07%74.30%78.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.321.281.5383.33%75.56%78.13%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalma Galfi (Local): 25.93%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 74.07%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +13.33%E +8.71%K +25.15%G +3.35%3.1%2026-04-23 12:32
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +13.33%E +8.71%K +25.15%G +3.35%3.1%2026-04-23 12:32
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -29.21%E -10.70%K -16.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV +11.11%E +7.40%K +22.21%G +2.47%3.3%2026-04-23 12:30
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +11.11%E +7.40%K +22.21%G +2.47%4.4%2026-04-23 12:34
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -28.69%E -10.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV +10.36%E +6.96%K +21.15%G +2.19%3.5%2026-04-23 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -29.21%E -10.70%K -16.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%4.2%2026-04-23 12:26
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%5.3%2026-04-23 12:28
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -32.58%E -12.53%K -20.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%6.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -35.18%E -14.07%K -23.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%7.6%2026-04-23 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -35.18%E -14.07%K -23.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%7.6%2026-04-23 12:29
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -29.99%E -11.11%K -17.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +8.88%E +6.04%K +18.90%G +1.68%5.1%2026-04-23 12:26
SportsBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -29.47%E -10.83%K -17.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV +8.14%E +5.58%K +17.70%G +1.44%5.3%2026-04-23 12:31
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV +8.14%E +5.58%K +17.70%G +1.44%6.2%2026-04-23 12:26
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -33.88%E -13.29%K -21.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV +7.40%E +5.10%K +16.45%G +1.22%8.2%2026-04-23 12:30
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -33.88%E -13.29%K -21.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV +7.40%E +5.10%K +16.45%G +1.22%8.2%2026-04-23 12:22
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.69%E -10.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.66%E +4.63%K +15.14%G +1.01%5.8%2026-04-23 12:26
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -22.21%E -7.40%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.735%E +0.541%K +2.04%G +0.015%6.9%2026-04-23 12:35
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -19.62%E -6.33%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -0.746%E -0.557%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 12:34
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:34
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.62%E -6.33%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:34
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:34
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 12:34
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:34
Coolbet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:35
Fliff🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.76%E -0.737%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:35
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -8.15%E -6.58%K -33.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.15%E -6.58%K -33.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.89%E -7.23%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.89%E -7.23%K -38.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.20%E +2.40%K +3.14%G +0.320%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:35
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:35
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:35
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +12.28%E +2.84%K +3.69%G +0.453%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +12.28%E +2.84%K +3.69%G +0.453%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:35
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +8.91%E +2.12%K +2.78%G +0.248%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +1.13%E +0.289%K +0.389%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-04-23 12:35
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%6.3%2026-04-23 12:35