La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dalma Galfi v Anna Kalinskaya
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dalma Galfi (Local)
Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV +12.28%
Ventaja +2.84%
Kelly +3.69%
Crecimiento +0.453%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.70%26.93%25.70%37.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.353.404.3340.00%29.84%29.41%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)
Predicción 74.07%1.35momio equitativo
EV +13.33%
Ventaja +8.71%
Kelly +25.15%
Crecimiento +3.35%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.81%73.07%74.30%78.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.321.281.5383.33%75.56%78.13%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +13.33%E +8.71%K +25.15%G +3.35% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 12:32 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +13.33%E +8.71%K +25.15%G +3.35% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 12:32 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -29.21%E -10.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV +11.11%E +7.40%K +22.21%G +2.47% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +11.11%E +7.40%K +22.21%G +2.47% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -28.69%E -10.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV +10.36%E +6.96%K +21.15%G +2.19% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -29.21%E -10.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 12:26 |
| ReBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -32.58%E -12.53%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -35.18%E -14.07%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -35.18%E -14.07%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -29.99%E -11.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +8.88%E +6.04%K +18.90%G +1.68% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 12:26 |
| SportsBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -29.47%E -10.83%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV +8.14%E +5.58%K +17.70%G +1.44% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV +8.14%E +5.58%K +17.70%G +1.44% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 12:26 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -33.88%E -13.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV +7.40%E +5.10%K +16.45%G +1.22% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -33.88%E -13.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV +7.40%E +5.10%K +16.45%G +1.22% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:22 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.69%E -10.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.66%E +4.63%K +15.14%G +1.01% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:26 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -22.21%E -7.40%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.735%E +0.541%K +2.04%G +0.015% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -19.62%E -6.33%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -0.746%E -0.557%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.62%E -6.33%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Coolbet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Fliff | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.76%E -0.737%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -8.15%E -6.58%K -33.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.15%E -6.58%K -33.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.89%E -7.23%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.89%E -7.23%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.20%E +2.40%K +3.14%G +0.320% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| 888sport | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +12.28%E +2.84%K +3.69%G +0.453% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +12.28%E +2.84%K +3.69%G +0.453% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +8.91%E +2.12%K +2.78%G +0.248% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +1.13%E +0.289%K +0.389%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Novig | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |