L’École des cotes

Dalma Galfi v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 12:36 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV +12.28%
Avantage +2.84%
Kelly +3.69%
Croissance +0.453%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.70%26.93%25.70%37.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.503.353.404.3340.00%29.84%29.41%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.07%1.35cote équitable
EV +13.33%
Avantage +8.71%
Kelly +25.15%
Croissance +3.35%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.81%73.07%74.30%78.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.321.281.5383.33%75.56%78.13%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +13.33%E +8.71%K +25.15%G +3.35%3.1%2026-04-23 12:32
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +13.33%E +8.71%K +25.15%G +3.35%3.1%2026-04-23 12:32
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -29.21%E -10.70%K -16.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV +11.11%E +7.40%K +22.21%G +2.47%3.3%2026-04-23 12:30
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +11.11%E +7.40%K +22.21%G +2.47%4.4%2026-04-23 12:34
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -28.69%E -10.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV +10.36%E +6.96%K +21.15%G +2.19%3.5%2026-04-23 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -29.21%E -10.70%K -16.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%4.2%2026-04-23 12:26
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%5.3%2026-04-23 12:28
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -32.58%E -12.53%K -20.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%6.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -35.18%E -14.07%K -23.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%7.6%2026-04-23 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -35.18%E -14.07%K -23.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +9.62%E +6.50%K +20.05%G +1.93%7.6%2026-04-23 12:29
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -29.99%E -11.11%K -17.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +8.88%E +6.04%K +18.90%G +1.68%5.1%2026-04-23 12:26
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -29.47%E -10.83%K -17.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV +8.14%E +5.58%K +17.70%G +1.44%5.3%2026-04-23 12:31
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -31.29%E -11.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV +8.14%E +5.58%K +17.70%G +1.44%6.2%2026-04-23 12:26
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -33.88%E -13.29%K -21.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV +7.40%E +5.10%K +16.45%G +1.22%8.2%2026-04-23 12:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -33.88%E -13.29%K -21.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV +7.40%E +5.10%K +16.45%G +1.22%8.2%2026-04-23 12:22
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.69%E -10.43%K -16.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.66%E +4.63%K +15.14%G +1.01%5.8%2026-04-23 12:26
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -22.21%E -7.40%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.735%E +0.541%K +2.04%G +0.015%6.9%2026-04-23 12:35
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -19.62%E -6.33%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -0.746%E -0.557%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 12:34
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:35
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:34
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -19.62%E -6.33%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.49%E -1.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:34
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:34
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.71%E -2.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 12:34
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:34
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:34
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:35
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.67%E -5.30%K -25.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:35
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.76%E -0.737%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:34
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:34
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:34
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:35
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -8.15%E -6.58%K -33.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:35
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.15%E -6.58%K -33.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.89%E -7.23%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.89%E -7.23%K -38.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.20%E +2.40%K +3.14%G +0.320%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:35
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:35
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:35
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.63%E -7.90%K -43.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:35
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +12.28%E +2.84%K +3.69%G +0.453%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:35
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +12.28%E +2.84%K +3.69%G +0.453%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:35
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +8.91%E +2.12%K +2.78%G +0.248%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +1.13%E +0.289%K +0.389%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -11.12%E -9.26%K -55.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-04-23 12:35
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%6.3%2026-04-23 12:35