Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson v Katerina Siniakova

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prediction 54.69%1.83fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.62%54.74%54.71%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8159.88%57.47%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katerina Siniakova (Visit)

Prediction 45.31%2.21fair odd
EV -0.308%
Edge -0.140%
Kelly -0.257%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.26%45.29%47.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.062.2050.00%48.04%48.54%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clara Tauson (Local): 54.69%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 45.31%. For Katerina Siniakova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.308%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.02%E -0.563%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.92%E -4.44%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 20:35
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.11%E -1.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.11%E -1.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 00:50
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:35
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:50
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:09
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.75%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:49
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:19
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.65%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:19
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:04
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:05
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-24 01:05