L’École des cotes

Clara Tauson v Katerina Siniakova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prévision 54.69%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.563%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.62%54.74%54.71%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.741.8159.88%57.47%57.47%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Katerina Siniakova (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.31%2.21cote équitable
EV -0.308%
Avantage -0.140%
Kelly -0.257%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.26%45.29%47.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.062.2050.00%48.04%48.54%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.02%E -0.563%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.92%E -4.44%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 20:35
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.11%E -1.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.11%E -1.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 00:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 00:49
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:35
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:45
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:44
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:44
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:24
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:50
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:09
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:25
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.75%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:09
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:25
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:20
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:09
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.65%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:04
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:05
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-24 01:05