Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clara Tauson v Katerina Siniakova

Início: 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Previsão 54.69%1.83odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.563%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.62%54.74%54.71%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.741.8159.88%57.47%57.47%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Katerina Siniakova (Visitante)

Previsão 45.31%2.21odd justa
EV -0.308%
Vantagem -0.140%
Kelly -0.257%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%45.26%45.29%47.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.062.2050.00%48.04%48.54%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Clara Tauson (Local): 54.69%; Katerina Siniakova (Visitante): 45.31%. Para Katerina Siniakova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.21. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.20, com valor esperado de -0.308%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.02%E -0.563%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.92%E -4.44%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 20:35
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.11%E -1.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.11%E -1.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 00:50
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:35
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:50
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:09
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.75%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.39%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:49
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:19
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.65%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:19
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:04
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:05
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.68%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.308%E -0.140%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-24 01:05