Language:English
Ashlyn Krueger v Sofia Kenin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ashlyn Krueger (Local)
Prediction 56.66%1.76fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.95%56.75%57.72%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.651.611.8066.67%60.69%62.11%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sofia Kenin (Visit)
Prediction 43.34%2.31fair odd
EV +12.68%
Edge +4.88%
Kelly +7.92%
Growth +1.00%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%43.25%42.28%49.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.192.202.6053.48%45.63%45.45%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ashlyn Krueger (Local): 56.66%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 43.34%. For Sofia Kenin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +12.68%E +4.88%K +7.92%G +1.00% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +8.34%E +3.34%K +5.56%G +0.464% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.34%E +3.34%K +5.56%G +0.464% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.31%E -8.70%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV +1.84%E +0.784%K +1.37%G +0.025% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -9.91%E -6.23%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +0.543%E +0.234%K +0.411%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.19%E -0.522%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.19%E -0.522%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -13.31%E -8.70%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.35%EV -5.96%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV +1.43%E +0.797%K +1.81%G +0.026% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.41%E -0.809%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -0.274%E -0.156%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -10.72%E -5.21%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.41%E -0.809%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -12.03%E -5.92%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.46%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.46%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.97%E -1.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.97%E -1.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.54%E -1.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 16:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -18.96%E -10.14%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 16:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:45 |