La escuela de los momios

Ashlyn Krueger v Sofia Kenin

Inicio: 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Predicción 56.66%1.76momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +2.49%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.95%56.75%57.72%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.651.611.8066.67%60.69%62.11%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Predicción 43.34%2.31momio equitativo
EV +12.68%
Ventaja +4.88%
Kelly +7.92%
Crecimiento +1.00%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%43.25%42.28%49.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.192.202.6053.48%45.63%45.45%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +12.68%E +4.88%K +7.92%G +1.00%5.1%2026-04-22 16:45
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +8.34%E +3.34%K +5.56%G +0.464%4.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.34%E +3.34%K +5.56%G +0.464%6.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.31%E -8.70%K -25.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115%7.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115%8.3%2026-04-22 16:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115%8.3%2026-04-22 16:45
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV +1.84%E +0.784%K +1.37%G +0.025%7.5%2026-04-22 16:44
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -9.91%E -6.23%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +0.543%E +0.234%K +0.411%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:44
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.19%E -0.522%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:44
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.19%E -0.522%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:45
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:45
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:45
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:45
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:45
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 16:44
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:45
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:45
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:44
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -13.31%E -8.70%K -25.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.35%EV -5.96%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 16:45
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV +1.43%E +0.797%K +1.81%G +0.026%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 16:35
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 16:29
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:10
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.41%E -0.809%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -0.274%E -0.156%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -10.72%E -5.21%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:25
Betr (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.41%E -0.809%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -12.03%E -5.92%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:04
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.46%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:44
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.46%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:04
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:04
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.97%E -1.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.97%E -1.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.54%E -1.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:05
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:30
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -18.96%E -10.14%K -21.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-22 16:45
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-22 16:45
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%5.3%2026-04-22 16:45