L’École des cotes

Ashlyn Krueger v Sofia Kenin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Prévision 56.66%1.76cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +2.49%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.95%56.75%57.72%63.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.651.611.8066.67%60.69%62.11%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sofia Kenin (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.34%2.31cote équitable
EV +12.68%
Avantage +4.88%
Kelly +7.92%
Croissance +1.00%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%43.25%42.28%49.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.192.202.6053.48%45.63%45.45%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +12.68%E +4.88%K +7.92%G +1.00%5.1%2026-04-22 16:45
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +8.34%E +3.34%K +5.56%G +0.464%4.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.34%E +3.34%K +5.56%G +0.464%6.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.31%E -8.70%K -25.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115%7.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115%8.3%2026-04-22 16:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.01%E -10.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +4.01%E +1.67%K +2.86%G +0.115%8.3%2026-04-22 16:45
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV +1.84%E +0.784%K +1.37%G +0.025%7.5%2026-04-22 16:44
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -9.91%E -6.23%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +0.543%E +0.234%K +0.411%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:45
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.324%E -0.141%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:44
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.19%E -0.522%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:44
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.19%E -0.522%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:45
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:45
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:45
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:45
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:45
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 16:44
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:45
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.47%E -6.63%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:45
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -11.61%E -7.44%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:44
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -13.31%E -8.70%K -25.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.35%EV -5.96%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 16:45
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV +1.43%E +0.797%K +1.81%G +0.026%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 16:35
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 16:29
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:10
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.41%E -0.809%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -12.74%E -8.27%K -23.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -0.274%E -0.156%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -10.72%E -5.21%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.293%E +0.165%K +0.380%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:25
Betr (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.41%E -0.809%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -12.03%E -5.92%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:04
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.46%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:44
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.46%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:04
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:04
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.97%E -1.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.97%E -1.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.54%E -1.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:05
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.33%E -6.66%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:30
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:04
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV +1.99%E +1.11%K +2.49%G +0.050%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -18.96%E -10.14%K -21.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:43
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-22 16:45
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-22 16:45
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-22 16:45
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%5.3%2026-04-22 16:45