Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár v Elina Svitolina

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 09:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár (Local)

Prediction 19.61%5.10fair odd
EV +17.64%
Edge +2.94%
Kelly +3.53%
Growth +0.622%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.85%19.65%19.41%22.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.945.006.0024.39%20.23%20.00%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visit)

Prediction 80.39%1.24fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -8.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.65%80.35%80.59%84.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.13%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Bondár (Local): 19.61%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 80.39%. For Anna Bondár (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +17.64%E +2.94%K +3.53%G +0.622%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +12.73%E +2.21%K +2.68%G +0.341%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +9.79%E +1.75%K +2.13%G +0.209%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +8.81%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.171%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:06
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:04
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:08
Pinnacle🎯5.48I 18.25%NM 17.84%EV +7.44%E +1.36%K +1.66%G +0.124%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.16%EV -4.33%E -3.64%K -22.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 09:15
ReBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +5.87%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.078%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +3.91%E +0.738%K +0.910%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:04
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:05
GTbets🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 08:59
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Fliff🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.465%G +0.009%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
DraftKings🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV -0.205%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.18%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:14
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:01
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 08:59
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Coolbet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.91%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:05
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.33%E -3.64%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:15
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.85%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -7.85%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.81%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -9.96%E -8.89%K -82.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 09:15
NordicBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.79%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Betsson🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.79%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.92%E -1.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -9.96%E -8.89%K -82.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:14
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.11%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -16.67%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -19.62%E -4.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -19.62%E -4.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:12
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%0.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%3.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Novig5.08I 19.69%NM 18.72%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.28%5.2%2026-04-23 09:15