L’École des cotes

Anna Bondár v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 09:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anna Bondár (Local)

Prévision 19.61%5.10cote équitable
EV +17.64%
Avantage +2.94%
Kelly +3.53%
Croissance +0.622%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.85%19.65%19.41%22.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.945.006.0024.39%20.23%20.00%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.39%1.24cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -8.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.65%80.35%80.59%84.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.13%86.21%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +17.64%E +2.94%K +3.53%G +0.622%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +12.73%E +2.21%K +2.68%G +0.341%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +9.79%E +1.75%K +2.13%G +0.209%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +8.81%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.171%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:06
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:04
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:08
Pinnacle5.48I 18.25%NM 17.84%EV +7.44%E +1.36%K +1.66%G +0.124%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.16%EV -4.33%E -3.64%K -22.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 09:15
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +5.87%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.078%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +3.91%E +0.738%K +0.910%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:04
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:05
GTbets5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 08:59
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Fliff5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.465%G +0.009%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
DraftKings5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV -0.205%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.18%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:14
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:01
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 08:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
Bally Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.91%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:05
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.33%E -3.64%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:15
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.85%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -7.85%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.81%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -9.96%E -8.89%K -82.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 09:15
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.79%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.79%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.92%E -1.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:15
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -9.96%E -8.89%K -82.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:14
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.11%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:14
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -16.67%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -19.62%E -4.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -19.62%E -4.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:12
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%0.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%3.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Novig5.08I 19.69%NM 18.72%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.28%5.2%2026-04-23 09:15