La escuela de los momios

Anna Bondár v Elina Svitolina

Inicio: 2026-04-23 09:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anna Bondár (Local)

Predicción 19.61%5.10momio equitativo
EV +17.64%
Ventaja +2.94%
Kelly +3.53%
Crecimiento +0.622%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.85%19.65%19.41%22.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.945.006.0024.39%20.23%20.00%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Predicción 80.39%1.24momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -8.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.65%80.35%80.59%84.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.13%86.21%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +17.64%E +2.94%K +3.53%G +0.622%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +12.73%E +2.21%K +2.68%G +0.341%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +9.79%E +1.75%K +2.13%G +0.209%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +8.81%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.171%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:06
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:04
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +7.83%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:08
Pinnacle5.48I 18.25%NM 17.84%EV +7.44%E +1.36%K +1.66%G +0.124%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.16%EV -4.33%E -3.64%K -22.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 09:15
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +5.87%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.078%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +3.91%E +0.738%K +0.910%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:04
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:05
GTbets5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 08:59
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.690%G +0.020%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Fliff5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.465%G +0.009%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
DraftKings5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV -0.205%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.18%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:14
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:01
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 08:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
Bally Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.74%E -5.81%K -42.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.91%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:05
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:04
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.33%E -3.64%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.55%E -6.56%K -50.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.35%E -7.33%K -59.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:15
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.85%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -7.85%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -9.15%E -8.10%K -70.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.81%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -9.96%E -8.89%K -82.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 09:15
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.79%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.79%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.92%E -1.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 09:15
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:14
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -9.96%E -8.89%K -82.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:14
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.11%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:14
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -16.67%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -19.62%E -4.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -19.62%E -4.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.14%E -4.35%K -28.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:12
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%0.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%3.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Novig5.08I 19.69%NM 18.72%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.28%5.2%2026-04-23 09:15